Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.008236 11.205612 12.500188 14.005629 15.710389 17.583496 19.800974
2025-04-13 7.844585 9.351570 11.094811 13.266749 15.909179 19.030825 23.014487
2025-04-20 6.585437 8.302797 10.413656 13.213585 16.851838 21.448835 27.743813
2025-04-27 5.658571 7.510757 9.918422 13.304069 17.984708 24.289338 33.528841
2025-05-04 4.865967 6.770588 9.377434 13.247728 18.918877 27.034899 39.728172
2025-05-11 4.124023 5.988849 8.663908 12.838583 19.294429 29.071865 45.332496
2025-05-18 3.546745 5.358398 8.073066 12.512227 19.735502 31.281620 51.653029
2025-05-25 3.087340 4.838823 7.572221 12.242515 20.216743 33.636249 58.700019
2025-06-01 2.728267 4.425733 7.178054 12.080232 20.843777 36.339331 66.924248
2025-06-08 2.439648 4.087546 6.857527 11.989648 21.575878 39.352629 76.374487
2025-06-15 2.259639 3.907906 6.778533 12.309096 23.101814 44.096472 90.264410
2025-06-22 2.039540 3.628871 6.486499 12.190068 23.772739 47.313653 101.750759
2025-06-29 1.815645 3.320090 6.109685 11.872000 24.038660 49.856427 112.613266
2025-07-06 1.634337 3.068067 5.806542 11.654535 24.479404 52.869266 125.366929
2025-07-13 1.528441 2.947767 5.742872 11.921177 26.017073 58.636672 146.399708
2025-07-20 1.439188 2.849074 5.709190 12.247563 27.755676 65.252787 171.528692
2025-07-27 1.341558 2.721037 5.597913 12.385282 29.084041 71.175497 196.561896
2025-08-03 1.223151 2.535091 5.339526 12.145948 29.453860 74.760354 216.013809
2025-08-10 1.121096 2.372347 5.111448 11.943952 29.885335 78.617847 237.527754
2025-08-17 1.031933 2.227692 4.905992 11.766273 30.351973 82.691226 261.074353
2025-08-24 0.957538 2.107808 4.742711 11.670165 31.026200 87.527141 288.806090
2025-08-31 0.893860 2.005391 4.607996 11.627824 31.847736 93.007336 320.718091
2025-09-07 0.858283 1.964991 4.617739 11.972005 33.861718 102.675994 371.553036